1. USA-Israel diplomacy is at a tense moment. The tight, military alliance between USA and Israel goverment (being the 'police security force' of the mediterranean), ''seems'' to loosen with Obama. However, israeli diplomacy and mostly israeli economic power over Wall-Street America is great, and economical interests are far more powerful than Obama's ''democratic will to change the world''. So USA, unfornately for us all here in the mediterannean, won't risk to loose Israel as an ally...and will continue to play ally card and arm Israel with nuclear weapons...and Israel will continue to play aggresion card over Palestine and Iran.
2. Iran can control oil prices. Being a great oil-producing force, Iran can play the card of fear for the western society, as an defense card so it can't be attacked easily..For sure they can control a great amount of global oil market a move that USA fears. But they won't do it unless they are aggressed (most probably by Israel and not by Obama "democracy". So Iran anticipates a move from either USA or Israel to counterattack in the oil market.
3. Palestine as a key-nation to end this conflict. As far as it goes, the notion of peace over the Middle-East problems (and furthermore a solution to Israel-Iran aggresion) passes over the unfortunate nation of Palestine... IF Israel fascistic and military goverment is not supported anymore by the western societies (Europe and USA included)... IF Israel is sanctioned by the United Nations for War Crimes... IF Israeli people stand up and shout and overthrow their tyrranic military regime that injects them fear and panic over their neighbours... IF Israel breaks the wall and retires from being imperialistic over Palestine... IF Palestine can become a free land again...
THEN surely we will have made a great step towards global peace (iran included)...and this poker war game will end with all winers
I think that the Shemites' intolerance to Islam is on its peak nowadays. Israel wanted to destroy Iran for a long time. And the States are economically interested in putting Iran down on its knees (cause this country has enormous oil reserves) As the history shows-many wars started with a provocation. That's way aggression upon Iran existed before and will exist further.
As far as I'm concerned, Russia doesn't take part in the anti-Islam war and Moscow on its part makes every effort to prevent the war in Iran.
I agree with you, but I just hope it won't happen.
Israel really freaks me out. I think they are perfectly capable of attacking, and then it would be terrible. I really hope that they will stop before crossing that line in order not to make every other country in the world angry at them. I don't think the US would attack though, it would be failing for the Obama administration (given what he tried with the speech in Cairo and so on). Even if we're talking about the US' imperialism, they really tried to improve their use of soft power and it would ruin it. But it is really hard to tell what they (and Germany) would do if Israel was to attack Iran, condemn it or help them. China and Russia would never attack Iran, Iran is an observer in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation and seems to be willing to join it. Consequently the UN would also not permit an intervention in Iran, it would be vetoed.
It's funny because most of the time Europeans and Americans see the SCO as a threat, but here it could stop Israel. The army of China is the biggest in the world and Russia is quite powerful too I guess any country wanting to attack Iran would think about it twice before doing anything.
Firstly if republicans were running America, they might have attacked Iran's nuclear facilities already but Democrats always try peaceful resolution, Secondly as *TheTaoEngine said China and Russia have too much money invested their and thirdly America can't afford another war right now, It will be disastrous for America as well.
in my opinion, nah, theres too much money involved in their coast to gamble with another war near the place, also the oil supply of america most of it past tru there, venezuela being attacked thats more probable in the future than Iran
If Iran keeps up the hard line rhetoric and plans to move forward on their nuclear plants. Israel is going to lose patience with the West's diplomatic efforts and try to Air strike Iran's nuclear facilities. Iran knows this and is trying to move everything underground into fortified bunkers. A strike on Iran by Israel would be great for the US. We could get the results we want, and say to the world "Hey, it wasn't us". Of course, they won't be able to strike the targets without our bunker buster munitions. China and Russia will NEVER sanction military action against Iran. They have too much money invested their and don't want to rock the boat. So the only option is a unilateral action by a "third party" that is not on the security council.
yes man i agree that Israel is going to force things and go for a swift attack on the uranium installations, however that in itself is a sort of nuclear attack, fallout from the attack could contaminate vast areas.I don not buy the "Iran whats to wipe out Israel for good" rhetoric, first of all they can`t, according to the IAEA they do not have the capability of producing deliverable (they may have a bucket of uranium but ICBM technology is something they won`t master for ages) nuclear weapons.Second can a country of over 200mil ppl risk total annihilation by launching one or maybe two nukes towards Israel .I think sanctions are useless at this point especially since the US - Israeli relations are extremely tense (or so the media shows it : [link] ).In my view it all rests on the shoulders of the Israelis if they force an attack it`s the end (look at the oil price consequences, in two hours from a possible attack i think crude will be @ 200 maybe even 300 usd/barrel that will bring the world economy to a stand still, a stand still it won`t be able to manage anymore).I prey this won`t happen...
the REALLY funny thing is is that IF Iran moves to an underground facility, they will make the consequences of fallout NIL. The blast will be contained underground. The bombs we use penetrate the target and THEN detonate keeping splash damage to a "minimum". Also keep in mind that the other OPEC nations rarely care about politics unless it hurt their bottom line. They won't risk a US oil embargo. The US' oil reserves are OVERFLOWING right now. and the OPEC nations will be screwed. It's the PERFECT opportunity for all of this to go down. Also consider this, Iran is the LAST non-ally Muslim nation with ANY kind of real army. I think it's all coming to a head soon. I can hear the gears of war grinding.
The reason that this is probable is that Iran has already threatened Israel with complete annihilation. They really DON'T want Iran having nukes! So they are more than likely to act to protect their own interests.