If Iran keeps up the hard line rhetoric and plans to move forward on their nuclear plants. Israel is going to lose patience with the West's diplomatic efforts and try to Air strike Iran's nuclear facilities. Iran knows this and is trying to move everything underground into fortified bunkers. A strike on Iran by Israel would be great for the US. We could get the results we want, and say to the world "Hey, it wasn't us". Of course, they won't be able to strike the targets without our bunker buster munitions. China and Russia will NEVER sanction military action against Iran. They have too much money invested their and don't want to rock the boat. So the only option is a unilateral action by a "third party" that is not on the security council.
yes man i agree that Israel is going to force things and go for a swift attack on the uranium installations, however that in itself is a sort of nuclear attack, fallout from the attack could contaminate vast areas.I don not buy the "Iran whats to wipe out Israel for good" rhetoric, first of all they can`t, according to the IAEA they do not have the capability of producing deliverable (they may have a bucket of uranium but ICBM technology is something they won`t master for ages) nuclear weapons.Second can a country of over 200mil ppl risk total annihilation by launching one or maybe two nukes towards Israel .I think sanctions are useless at this point especially since the US - Israeli relations are extremely tense (or so the media shows it : [link] ).In my view it all rests on the shoulders of the Israelis if they force an attack it`s the end (look at the oil price consequences, in two hours from a possible attack i think crude will be @ 200 maybe even 300 usd/barrel that will bring the world economy to a stand still, a stand still it won`t be able to manage anymore).I prey this won`t happen...
the REALLY funny thing is is that IF Iran moves to an underground facility, they will make the consequences of fallout NIL. The blast will be contained underground. The bombs we use penetrate the target and THEN detonate keeping splash damage to a "minimum". Also keep in mind that the other OPEC nations rarely care about politics unless it hurt their bottom line. They won't risk a US oil embargo. The US' oil reserves are OVERFLOWING right now. and the OPEC nations will be screwed. It's the PERFECT opportunity for all of this to go down. Also consider this, Iran is the LAST non-ally Muslim nation with ANY kind of real army. I think it's all coming to a head soon. I can hear the gears of war grinding.
The reason that this is probable is that Iran has already threatened Israel with complete annihilation. They really DON'T want Iran having nukes! So they are more than likely to act to protect their own interests.